Model-to-World Lab · Stanford MS&E

From simulated worlds to reliable decisions in the real one.

M2W studies how decisions built in mathematical, simulated, and data-derived worlds perform when they meet reality. We build the world, compute the decision, and measure the gap.

The M2W research loop

Build a world. Make a decision. Learn what survives.

The model-to-world gap is not a final disclaimer. It is examined at each stage and updated with evidence from reality.

  1. 01Model

    Represent the mechanisms, constraints, and uncertainty that matter for a consequential decision.

  2. 02Simulate

    Explore ordinary, rare, shifted, and counterfactual worlds before acting in the real one.

  3. 03Decide

    Compare policies and optimize performance while accounting for uncertainty and misspecification.

  4. 04Transfer

    Test what survives the model-to-world gap, then validate and recalibrate with new evidence.

Audit the model-to-world gap

Examples · M2W Decision Labs

Follow a decision from a known model to a world that can shift.

Interactive examples make the loop inspectable: model the mechanism, learn from partial evidence, protect the decision, and name what must be validated next.

  1. Known model
  2. Logged behavior
  3. Preference shift
Explore M2W Examples
José Blanchet

Blanchet Research Group

A research program shaped by probability, computation, and consequential decisions.

M2W is led by José H. Blanchet, Professor of Management Science & Engineering at Stanford. It brings together two decades of research in stochastic simulation, model risk, optimization, learning, and causal inference around one question: how do we make decisions that survive contact with the world?